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W122026/05/15International Business Management

進入模式與策略聯盟Entry Modes and Strategic Alliances

企業走進海外市場,不是只問「要不要去」,而是要問:用誰的通路、誰擁有資產、誰掌握資料、誰承擔風險,以及情勢改變時能不能退場。這一週會把進入模式、聯盟、模式轉換與退出成本放在同一張決策地圖裡。Foreign entry is not a yes-or-no choice. It asks who owns the assets, who controls customer data, who carries political and partner risk, and whether the firm can change or exit when the market changes. This week connects entry modes, alliances, mode shifts, and exit costs in one decision map.

課程導入Course Opening

進入模式,其實是在回答「該把公司邊界畫在哪裡」Entry Mode Is a Boundary Decision

出口、授權、加盟、代理、策略聯盟、合資、併購、綠地投資(greenfield investment),看起來像一串名詞;實務上,它們是在決定公司要把哪些活動留在自己手上,哪些交給夥伴,哪些先暫時外包,哪些必須一開始就自己做。Exporting, licensing, franchising, agency, strategic alliance, joint venture, acquisition, and greenfield investment are not just textbook labels. They decide which activities stay inside the firm, which activities are shared with partners, and which activities can be outsourced for now.

本週的重點不是背模式,而是練習判斷:什麼時候需要擁有(ownership),什麼時候需要合作,什麼時候需要快速試水溫,什麼時候必須預先設計退出條件。好的進入策略會同時說清楚「為什麼現在這樣進」、「什麼訊號出現時要改」、「最壞情況下如何退」。The goal is not to memorize modes. The goal is to judge when ownership is needed, when cooperation is enough, when a firm should test the market quickly, and when it must design exit conditions before entering. A strong answer explains why this mode fits now, what signal would trigger a change, and how the firm can exit if the case turns bad.

今天要帶走的三個問題Three Questions to Carry Today

看到海外市場時,先不要急著選模式Do Not Choose the Mode Too Early

  • 這個市場真正吸引人的地方是什麼?需求、成本、人才、供應鏈、制度條件,還是競爭對手暫時跟不上?What makes the market attractive: demand, cost, talent, supply chain, institutions, or competitor weakness?
  • 公司的核心優勢能不能跨市場移轉?如果要透過夥伴移轉,會不會把能力教給未來的對手?Can the firm transfer its advantage across markets? If a partner helps transfer it, could that partner become a future rival?
  • 如果法規、匯率、戰爭、制裁或消費者反應改變,公司能不能縮小、轉換夥伴、出售,或乾淨退場?If regulation, exchange rates, war, sanctions, or consumer response changes, can the firm scale down, switch partners, sell, or exit cleanly?
三小時課程流程Three-Hour Class Flow

這份流程是給你檢查學習進度用的Use This Flow to Track Your Learning

流程可以折疊起來。需要確認自己現在應該產出什麼時,再打開檢查。Keep the flow collapsed until you need to check what you should be producing at that moment.

打開本週三小時學習路徑Open the suggested three-hour learning path
00:00-00:15

從影片進入問題Start With a Case Video

先看 BYD 匈牙利設廠或 McDonald's 退出俄羅斯的短片。把影片轉成一個決策問題:公司是在選進入模式、調整模式,還是承受退出成本?Watch the BYD Hungary or McDonald's Russia video. Turn it into a decision question: is the firm choosing an entry mode, changing a mode, or paying exit costs?

輸出:一個完整決策問題Output: one clear decision question

00:15-00:40

進入模式光譜Entry Mode Spectrum

把模式放在「控制權」與「資源承諾」的光譜上。不要只背定義,請記住每一種模式交換了什麼。Place modes on a spectrum of control and resource commitment. Do not memorize definitions only. Remember what each mode trades away.

輸出:模式比較表Output: mode comparison table

00:40-01:15

五個理論鏡頭Five Theory Lenses

用交易成本、OLI、資源與動態能力、競爭優勢、國際化順序來看同一個進入決策。每個理論都要變成一個可回答的管理問題。Read the same entry decision through TCE, OLI, RBV and dynamic capabilities, competitive advantage, and internationalization sequence. Each theory becomes one management question.

輸出:理論到問題的配對Output: theory-to-question matching

01:15-01:30

第一次自我測試First Self-Test

用一個小題目判斷:如果技術容易被模仿、地主國規則複雜、在地通路很重要,哪一種模式比較合理?為什麼?Use a short scenario to judge: if technology can be copied, host-country rules are complex, and local channels matter, which mode fits best, and why?

輸出:一段可辯護的理由Output: one defensible reason

01:30-02:05

三個案例:歐洲、印度、俄羅斯Three Cases: Europe, India, Russia

用 BYD 匈牙利設廠、印度 EV 製造政策、企業退出俄羅斯,看到「進入」其實會受到關稅、在地化要求、政治風險與資產沉沒成本牽動。Use BYD in Hungary, India's EV manufacturing scheme, and corporate exits from Russia to see how tariffs, localization requirements, political risk, and sunk assets shape entry and exit.

輸出:案例到理論的對照Output: case-to-theory mapping

02:05-02:35

《未生》案例:代理人風險與治理Misaeng Case: Agent Risk and Governance

用第六、七集的供應商延誤、風險審查與「急著確認」作為前奏,再接到 Jordan 舊車弊案。重點不是看劇情,而是看:把海外營運交給代理人後,總公司要靠哪些資料、現地查核與契約條款保住控制權?Use Episodes 6 and 7 as the setup: supplier delay, risk review, and rushed confirmation. Then connect them to the Jordan used-car fraud. The point is not plot summary. The point is to ask what data, local verification, and contract clauses protect control when overseas operations are delegated to an agent.

輸出:代理人風險與治理工具表Output: agent-risk and governance table

02:35-02:55

Prompt 工作流Prompt Workflow

用三組專家級 Prompt 產出初稿、查證、修正與自我測驗。前面的課中練習不送出;下方 Prompt workflow 的輸出、reflection 與基本學習紀錄會上傳到 Google Sheet。Use the three expert prompts to draft, verify, revise, and test yourself. Earlier in-class practice tasks are not submitted. The Prompt workflow outputs, reflection, and basic learning record below are uploaded to Google Sheets.

輸出:Prompt 學習紀錄與本機備份Output: prompt learning record and local backup

02:55-03:00

離開前的三句話Three Sentences Before You Leave

寫下:我現在能分辨的模式差異、我最容易誤判的地方、下一個案例我會先查哪個證據。Write: the mode difference I can now explain, the place where I may still misjudge, and the evidence I would check first in the next case.

輸出:課後 takeawaysOutput: after-class takeaways

理論地圖Theory Map

理論不是名詞表,而是判斷工具Theory Is a Decision Tool, Not a Vocabulary List

low commitment低資源承諾 high control高控制權 Export出口 License授權 Agency代理 Alliance聯盟 JV合資 Greenfield綠地投資 knowledge leakage risk rises in partner-based modes 夥伴型模式要特別注意能力外流

這張光譜不是排名。左側速度快、資源承諾低;右側控制強、退出成本高。中間的授權、代理、聯盟與合資,最需要設計治理規則。This spectrum is not a ranking. The left side is faster and lighter. The right side gives more control and higher exit cost. The middle modes need governance design.

1. 交易成本經濟學:為什麼要擁有?1. TCE: Why Own?

交易成本經濟學提醒我們,市場交易不一定便宜。當合約很難寫完整、夥伴可能投機、資產高度專屬、品質難以監控時,「自己做」可能比「交給市場」更合理。這就是所有權問題:擁有不是面子,而是為了降低談判、監督、協調與被綁架的成本。Transaction Cost Economics reminds us that market transactions are not always cheap. When contracts are incomplete, partners may behave opportunistically, assets are relationship-specific, and quality is hard to monitor, ownership may be cheaper than market contracting. Ownership is not about pride. It reduces bargaining, monitoring, coordination, and hold-up costs.

2. Dunning OLI:為什麼是這家公司、這個地方、這種方式?2. Dunning OLI: Why This Firm, Place, and Mode?

OLI 把海外投資拆成三個條件:所有權優勢(Ownership advantage)、區位優勢(Location advantage)、內部化優勢(Internalization advantage)。如果公司有品牌、技術或流程優勢,目標市場有需求、人才或政策條件,而且把活動留在自己手上比授權更好,FDI 就比較說得通。OLI breaks foreign investment into three conditions: Ownership advantage, Location advantage, and Internalization advantage. FDI makes stronger sense when the firm owns a brand, technology, or process advantage, the target location offers demand, talent, or policy benefits, and internal control is better than licensing.

3. 資源基礎與動態能力:能力能不能移得過去?3. RBV and Dynamic Capabilities: Can Capabilities Travel?

資源基礎觀點問:公司的優勢是否有價值、稀有、難模仿,而且被組織有效使用?動態能力再往前一步問:環境變動時,公司能不能感知、抓住機會、重組資源。海外進入不是複製貼上,重點是能力能不能在新市場重新運作。The Resource-Based View asks whether a firm's resources are valuable, rare, hard to imitate, and organized for use. Dynamic capabilities go further: can the firm sense change, seize opportunities, and reconfigure resources? Foreign entry is not copy and paste. The question is whether capabilities can work again in the new market.

4. 競爭優勢:是在開發既有優勢,還是在尋找新能力?4. Competitive Advantage: Exploit or Learn?

企業進入海外市場,有時是利用既有優勢(exploit):把成本、品牌、技術、營運流程帶到新市場。有時是為了取得新能力(learn or augment):靠近人才、供應鏈、科技聚落或高階客戶。兩種邏輯不同,進入模式也不同。A firm may enter a foreign market to exploit an existing advantage: cost, brand, technology, or operating process. It may also enter to learn or augment capabilities: talent, suppliers, technology clusters, or demanding customers. These two logics lead to different entry modes.

5. 國際化順序:Uppsala 與 Born Global5. Sequence: Uppsala and Born Global

Uppsala 學派強調逐步累積市場知識,從心理距離較近、承諾較低的市場開始,再逐步加碼。Born Global 則提醒我們,某些數位、利基、科技或網絡型企業可以很早就跨國經營。差異不是誰比較先進,而是公司如何取得市場知識與降低不確定性。The Uppsala model emphasizes gradual learning: firms start with closer markets and lower commitment, then increase commitment over time. Born Global firms remind us that some digital, niche, technology, or network-based firms can internationalize early. The difference is how firms acquire market knowledge and reduce uncertainty.

6. Exit Mode:進入前就要想退出6. Exit Mode: Plan the Exit Before Entry

退出不是失敗的同義詞。退出可能是政治風險上升、制裁、夥伴衝突、需求消失、匯率重挫、聲譽風險或策略重心改變。重資產企業通常比輕資產企業更難退,因為工廠、設備、人員、供應鏈與政府關係都可能形成高昂的退出成本。Exit is not the same as failure. A firm may exit because political risk rises, sanctions hit, partners conflict, demand disappears, currency collapses, reputation risk grows, or strategy changes. Heavy-asset firms usually face harder exits than asset-light firms because factories, equipment, people, supply chains, and government relationships become costly to unwind.

理論鏡頭Theory Lens在實務上問什麼?Practical Question要找什麼證據?Evidence to Check對模式選擇的影響Mode Implication
TCE把活動交給夥伴,會不會比自己做更貴、更難管?Will using partners become more expensive or harder to control than doing it internally?合約複雜度、資產專屬性、品質監控難度、夥伴可替代性。Contract complexity, asset specificity, quality monitoring difficulty, partner replaceability.交易成本高時,合資、併購或自建子公司更可能合理。High transaction costs push toward JV, acquisition, or wholly owned operations.
OLI公司有什麼優勢?目標地有什麼吸引力?為何要內部化?What advantage does the firm own, what location advantage exists, and why internalize?品牌、技術、成本、區位政策、市場需求、授權風險。Brand, technology, cost, location policy, market demand, licensing risk.O、L、I 同時強,FDI 說服力較強;只有 O 強,授權或出口也可能足夠。When O, L, and I are all strong, FDI is stronger. If only O is strong, licensing or exporting may be enough.
RBV / DC核心能力能不能移轉、保護、重組?Can the core capability be transferred, protected, and reconfigured?流程可複製性、人才與訓練、資料回流、當地調整能力。Process transferability, talent and training, data feedback, local adaptation capability.能力敏感且難以外包時,控制權需求上升;需要在地能力時,聯盟或合資有價值。Sensitive capabilities raise control needs. Need for local capability gives alliances or JVs value.
優勢利用Advantage Exploitation公司是把既有優勢帶出去,還是要在海外取得新能力?Is the firm taking an existing advantage abroad or seeking new capabilities overseas?母國優勢、市場差異、競爭者反應、客戶接受度。Home-market advantage, market differences, competitor response, customer acceptance.純粹利用優勢可從低承諾開始;尋找新能力通常需要更深入的在地嵌入。Pure exploitation can start lighter. Capability seeking usually requires deeper local embedding.
Uppsala / Born Global公司應該逐步加碼,還是一開始就跨多市場?Should the firm commit gradually or internationalize early across markets?市場知識來源、網絡、數位化程度、心理距離、資金壓力。Market knowledge sources, networks, digital intensity, psychic distance, funding pressure.知識不足時先低承諾;平台或利基企業可更早跨國,但更要設計學習迴路。Low knowledge supports low commitment. Platform or niche firms may go early but need fast learning loops.
Exit Mode如果要退,最難拔掉的是什麼?If the firm exits, what is hardest to unwind?資產沉沒成本、員工、供應商、品牌、制裁、買家、政府關係。Sunk assets, employees, suppliers, brand, sanctions, buyers, government relations.退出成本高時,初始承諾要更審慎,或用分階段投資保留轉圜。High exit cost calls for more cautious initial commitment or staged investment.
TCE交易成本 OLIOLI 架構 RBV + DC資源與能力 Sequence進入順序 Exit退出 Decision Output決策輸出 Recommended mode建議進入模式 Second-best mode備選模式 Mode-shift trigger模式轉換訊號 Alliance governance聯盟治理條款 Exit trigger and cost退出條件與成本

每一個理論都要推向可行動的輸出。只寫「這是 OLI」還不夠,必須能回答模式、備選方案、轉換訊號、治理與退出。Each theory must lead to an action-ready output. Saying "this is OLI" is not enough. The answer must cover mode, backup mode, trigger, governance, and exit.

案例與影片Cases and Video

用新案例看進入、轉換與退出Use Current Cases to Read Entry, Shift, and Exit

BYD Hungary

先觀察:BYD 在歐洲不是只賣車,也在建構在地製造、供應鏈與品牌信任。Watch for this: BYD is not only selling cars in Europe. It is building local manufacturing, supply chains, and trust.

McDonald's Russia Exit

先觀察:退出不是按下停止鍵,而是處理資產、員工、品牌、買家與聲譽。Watch for this: exit is not a stop button. It means handling assets, employees, brand, buyers, and reputation.

案例一:BYD 在歐洲,從銷售到在地製造Case 1: BYD in Europe, From Sales to Local Production

BYD 2023 年宣布在匈牙利 Szeged 建造歐洲第一座乘用車工廠,官方新聞稿強調在地就業、供應鏈與歐洲生產中心。2024 年 10 月,歐盟對中國製電動車課徵五年期反補貼稅,BYD 稅率為 17.0%。這不是單純的「海外設廠」故事,而是展示進入模式會如何被關稅、品牌信任、供應鏈與在地化壓力推動。BYD announced in 2023 that it would build its first European passenger-car factory in Szeged, Hungary. The official release emphasized local jobs, supply chains, and a European production center. In October 2024, the European Commission imposed five-year countervailing duties on China-made BEVs, including 17.0 percent for BYD. This is not a simple factory story. It shows how tariffs, trust, supply chains, and localization pressure can push entry-mode change.

BYD official announcement | European Commission BEV duties

案例二:印度 EV 政策,政策把模式選項重新排序Case 2: India's EV Scheme Reorders the Choices

印度 SPMEPCI 要求核准申請者至少投資 Rs.4,150 crore(約 5 億美元)建立電動乘用車製造設施,並在三年內達成 25% 的本地附加價值,五年內達成 50%。符合條件者可在一定限制下用 15% 關稅進口高價 EV。這提醒我們:政策不是背景,而是進入模式設計的一部分。對想進印度的 EV 企業來說,單純出口、代理銷售與在地製造不是自由排序,政策會改變各方案的成本與可行性。India's SPMEPCI requires approved applicants to invest at least Rs.4,150 crore, about USD 500 million, in e-4W manufacturing facilities, reach 25 percent domestic value addition within three years, and 50 percent within five years. Approved applicants may import qualifying EVs at a 15 percent duty under limits. Policy is not background. It is part of entry-mode design. For an EV entrant, exporting, agency sales, and local manufacturing are not freely ranked options because policy changes their costs and feasibility.

SPMEPCI portal | Ministry press release

案例三:McDonald's 與 BP 退出俄羅斯,退出成本不是同一種Case 3: McDonald's and BP Show Different Exit Costs

McDonald's 2022 年宣布出售俄羅斯業務,預估記錄約 12 到 14 億美元的主要非現金費用,並進行「de-Arching」,也就是移除 McDonald's 名稱、標誌、品牌與菜單。BP 則在俄烏戰爭後宣布退出 Rosneft 19.75% 持股,後續揭露俄羅斯相關費用達 255.20 億美元。兩者都在退場,但重資產能源投資與餐飲品牌退出面對的資產、政治與會計壓力完全不同。McDonald's announced in 2022 that it would sell its Russian business, expecting a mainly non-cash charge of about USD 1.2 to 1.4 billion and a "de-Arching" process that removed the McDonald's name, logo, branding, and menu. BP announced it would exit its 19.75 percent Rosneft shareholding, and later disclosed Russia-related charges of USD 25.520 billion. Both firms exited, but heavy-asset energy investment and restaurant-brand exit carry very different asset, political, and accounting pressure.

McDonald's official exit release | BP Rosneft exit release | BP 2022 results

案例四:聯盟不是「一起合作」這麼簡單Case 4: Alliance Is More Than "Working Together"

策略聯盟的價值通常來自互補:一方有技術或品牌,另一方有通路、制度知識、客戶關係或製造能力。問題是互補也會帶來依賴,學習也可能變成學習競賽。判斷聯盟時,不只看夥伴是不是有名,而要看資料權、決策權、技術邊界、績效指標與退出條款是否清楚。Strategic alliances create value through complementarity: one side may bring technology or brand, while the other brings channels, institutional knowledge, customer relationships, or manufacturing. But complementarity also creates dependence, and learning can become a learning race. Judge alliances by data rights, decision rights, technology boundaries, KPIs, and exit clauses, not by partner fame alone.

HBR: The Global Logic of Strategic Alliances

補充案例Additional Case最適合理論鏡頭Best Theory Lens學生可以怎麼問?Student Question來源Sources
TSMC Arizona / ESMC GermanyOLI, TCE, Ownership半導體先進製程為何需要高控制權?德國 ESMC 合資與美國 Arizona 自建廠,分別解決了什麼區位與治理問題?Why does advanced semiconductor manufacturing require high control? What location and governance problems do the Arizona fab and Germany's ESMC JV solve differently?NIST CHIPS: TSMC Arizona | TSMC ESMC release
Disney-Reliance India JVTCE, RBV, Mode Shift如果 Disney 在印度從全資控制轉向合資,它是在降低交易成本、取得在地能力,還是重新分配風險?哪些說法是官方事實,哪些只是我們的理論推論?If Disney shifts from full control to a JV in India, is it reducing transaction costs, gaining local capability, or redistributing risk? Which statements are official facts and which are our theory-based inferences?Disney official release | India CCI approval
LEGO Vietnam factoryOLI, Competitive Advantage ExploitationLEGO 為何用自有工廠複製精密製造、供應鏈與永續製程,而不是只授權或外包?品質一致性在這裡扮演什麼角色?Why does LEGO use its own factory to replicate precision manufacturing, supply chain, and sustainability processes instead of only licensing or outsourcing? What role does quality consistency play?LEGO official release | AP News
Costco China vs TemuUppsala vs Born GlobalCostco 的中國展店較像逐步累積市場知識;Temu 的跨國擴張較像早期快速國際化。兩者差異來自商業模式、資產型態、資料回流,還是供應鏈?Costco's China store rollout looks closer to gradual learning, while Temu's international spread looks closer to early rapid internationalization. Does the difference come from business model, assets, data feedback, or supply chain?Costco annual report | PDD annual reports
asset intensity and sunk cost資產強度與沉沒成本 political and institutional risk政治與制度風險 Agency / Export代理 / 出口easier to pause較容易暫停 Owned Restaurants自營餐飲據點brand, staff, buyer, suppliers品牌、員工、買家、供應商 Licensing / Franchise授權 / 加盟brand control risk remains品牌控制仍有風險 Oil and Gas Stakes能源股權與設備hardest to unwind最難抽離

退出成本常常在進入時就被寫進去了。重資產、制度風險高、買家少、品牌能見度高的模式,退出壓力通常更大。Exit cost is often built into the entry decision. Heavy assets, high institutional risk, few buyers, and visible brands usually make exit harder.

《未生》案例橋段Misaeng Case Bridge

從第六、七集看見代理人問題,從 Jordan 舊車案看見失控後果Episodes 6 and 7 Set Up the Agent Problem. The Jordan Used-Car Case Shows the Consequence.

素材定位:不要把戲劇當成插曲How to Use the Drama Material

先把位置說清楚:第六、七集不是 Jordan 舊車弊案的完整爆點,而是前奏。第六集讓你看見供應商延誤、關係壓力與契約治理;第七集讓你看見風險審查、資料查核與「先當作確認」的危險。後續 Jordan 舊車案把這些問題推到更嚴重的代理人風險:當海外現地資訊掌握在代理人、地方夥伴或分公司手上,總公司如果只看文件、電話與表面承諾,很容易把交易成本低估。First, locate the material correctly: Episodes 6 and 7 are not the full Jordan used-car fraud. They are the setup. Episode 6 shows supplier delay, relationship pressure, and contract governance. Episode 7 shows risk review, information checks, and the danger of treating an assumption as confirmed. The later Jordan used-car case raises the same issues to a more serious agency problem: when local information sits with an agent, local partner, or branch office, headquarters can easily underestimate transaction costs if it relies only on documents, phone calls, and surface promises.

這一段要練的不是「誰做錯了」,而是「哪一種進入模式會把哪些控制權交出去」。代理、經銷、聯盟與合資都可能帶來速度與在地知識,但也會讓公司暴露在資訊不對稱、機會主義、雙重合約、回扣與品質失控的風險裡。The question is not simply who made a mistake. The question is what control rights are given away by each entry mode. Agency, distribution, alliances, and JVs can bring speed and local knowledge, but they also expose the firm to information asymmetry, opportunism, dual contracts, kickbacks, and quality-control failures.

看劇時抓這四個訊號Four Signals to Watch

  • 對方一直延遲,但理由聽起來都「可以理解」。這是同理心與商業查核的拉扯。The other side keeps delaying, but each reason sounds understandable. This is the tension between empathy and business verification.
  • 關係很久、彼此熟,所以有人想跳過正式程序。這是交易成本經濟學最在意的合約不完整與投機空間。The relationship is old, so someone wants to skip formal process. This is where incomplete contracts and opportunism matter.
  • 文件看起來像真的,但身分、職稱、地址、出貨與信用額度沒有被交叉查核。Documents look real, but identity, title, address, shipment, and credit limit are not cross-checked.
  • 一開始只是代理或地方夥伴問題,最後可能變成品牌、會計、法律與退出成本。What begins as an agent or local-partner issue can become a brand, accounting, legal, and exit-cost problem.
影片片段Video Moment對話線索Dialogue Cue學生要看什麼What to Watch對應理論Theory Link
E06 00:31:11-00:32:24「keep calling」式的追單"keep calling" follow-up供應商延誤時,只靠電話催促很難知道真實原因。問題不是對方有沒有故事,而是能不能把故事轉成可查核資料。When a supplier delays, phone follow-up does not reveal the real cause. The issue is not whether the story sounds human, but whether it can be converted into verifiable evidence.TCE, monitoring cost
E06 00:48:59-00:50:40「by the book」與長期關係"by the book" vs. relationship長期往來可以降低搜尋成本,也可能讓人放鬆程序。治理的重點是把信任變成規則,而不是用信任取代規則。Long relationships can reduce search cost, but they can also weaken process discipline. Governance turns trust into rules. It does not replace rules with trust.Relational governance, incomplete contract
E06 00:53:40-00:54:00forwarding agency、shipment dates、credit limitforwarding agency, shipment dates, credit limit這些不是行政細節,而是控制點。能否查到貨代、船期與信用額度,決定公司能不能把海外交易從「聽說」拉回「可驗證」。These are not clerical details. They are control points. Forwarder, shipment schedule, and credit limit move a foreign transaction from hearsay to verification.Internalization, due diligence
E07 00:29:44-00:30:43「skimmed through」的確認"skimmed through" confirmation風險審查如果只求趕上進度,最需要確認的資料反而被略過。這是進入模式常見的時間壓力:速度越快,查核設計越要清楚。If risk review is rushed, the most important items may be skipped. Entry speed increases the need for clear verification design.Uppsala learning, risk analysis
E10 00:48:25-00:51:24executive list 與身分查核executive list and identity checkJordan 舊車案開始露出身分與職稱不一致。當代理人或地方公司說自己能代表市場時,第一步不是談條件,而是查清楚誰真的有權承諾。The Jordan used-car case begins to reveal inconsistent identity and titles. When an agent or local firm claims market access, the first step is not bargaining. It is checking who has authority to commit.Agency risk, ownership boundary
E13 00:08:30-00:08:49dual contract 與 commissiondual contract and commission雙重合約與佣金不是小瑕疵,而是治理失靈。它會讓價格、責任、利潤與法律風險都失真。Dual contracts and hidden commission are not minor flaws. They distort price, accountability, profit, and legal risk.Opportunism, exit cost
Headquarters總公司 capital, brand, approval資金、品牌、核准權 Agent / Partner代理人 / 夥伴 local access, documents在地接觸、文件 Buyer / Market買方 / 市場 demand, policy, payment需求、政策、付款 information gap returns to headquarters too late 資訊落差太晚回到總公司 identity身分authority授權 credit信用payment付款 shipment船期forwarder貨代 local visit現地查核contract match合約一致 Verification gates before scaling the entry mode 擴大進入模式前的四道查核門

代理人不是「幫我做事的人」而已。代理人會替公司接觸市場,也會替公司遮住市場。進入模式越依賴代理人,越要把身分、信用、船期、現地查核與合約一致性變成固定流程。An agent is not just someone who helps the firm. An agent gives market access and can also block market visibility. The more the entry mode depends on agents, the more identity, credit, shipment, local visit, and contract consistency must become routine controls.

把劇情翻成理論:不是道德故事,而是治理故事Turn Plot Into Theory: This Is Governance, Not Morality

交易成本經濟學會問:如果公司不能完整監督代理人,合約又寫不完,外包是否真的便宜?OLI 會問:這個交易是否該內部化,還是可以用授權、代理或聯盟處理?資源基礎與動態能力會問:公司是否有能力在海外重新建立查核、信用評估與現地學習流程?退出模式則提醒我們:當舞弊發生後,退出不是停止合作這麼簡單,還包括追償、信用保險、客戶關係、品牌修復與內部問責。TCE asks whether outsourcing is really cheap when monitoring is weak and contracts are incomplete. OLI asks whether the transaction should be internalized or handled through licensing, agency, or alliance. RBV and dynamic capabilities ask whether the firm can rebuild verification, credit assessment, and local learning overseas. Exit mode reminds us that fraud does not end when cooperation stops. It can require recovery, trade insurance, customer repair, brand repair, and internal accountability.

課中小練習:代理人治理檢查表In-Class Drill: Agent Governance Checklist

請把一個海外代理交易拆成四欄:代理人聲稱能提供什麼、總公司實際能查到什麼、如果查不到會造成什麼風險、要用哪一個條款或流程補上。至少要包含:身分與授權、買方與地址、信用與付款條件、貨代與船期、佣金與利益衝突、終止與追償條款。Split an overseas agency transaction into four columns: what the agent claims to provide, what headquarters can actually verify, what risk appears if it cannot verify, and which clause or process closes the gap. Include identity and authority, buyer and address, credit and payment terms, forwarder and shipping schedule, commission and conflict of interest, termination and recovery clauses.

配對題Matching

把「延遲出貨、身分不一致、雙重合約、現地查核不足」分別配到 TCE、OLI、RBV/DC、Exit Mode。每個答案都要寫一句理由。Match delayed shipment, inconsistent identity, dual contract, and weak local verification to TCE, OLI, RBV/DC, and Exit Mode. Add one reason for each match.

選擇題Multiple Choice

若代理商無法提供可查證買方資料,但市場需求看起來很大,公司應該:A 繼續談、B 降低出貨量、C 要求第三方查核與信用保險、D 直接改成綠地投資。請選一個最合理的下一步。If an agent cannot provide verifiable buyer data but demand looks large, should the firm: A continue negotiation, B reduce shipment volume, C require third-party verification and trade insurance, or D switch directly to greenfield investment? Choose the best next step.

模式轉換題Mode-Shift Question

什麼訊號出現時,代理或經銷模式應該轉成合資、在地辦公室,或暫停退出?請至少列出三個訊號。What signals should move a firm from agency or distribution to JV, local office, or temporary exit? List at least three signals.

延伸網頁資料Web Resources for Further Reading

課中活動In-Class Activities

用題目把理論變成記憶Turn Theories Into Memory Through Practice

配對題:理論對應哪一種問題?Matching: Which Question Fits Which Theory?

把以下問題配對到 TCE、OLI、RBV/DC、優勢利用、Uppsala/Born Global、Exit Mode。Match each question with TCE, OLI, RBV/DC, Advantage Exploitation, Uppsala/Born Global, or Exit Mode.

  1. 如果把售後服務交給代理商,品質失控會不會比自建團隊更貴?If after-service is delegated to agents, will quality problems cost more than building the team internally?
  2. 公司到底擁有什麼優勢?目標地有什麼區位吸引力?為什麼要內部化?What does the firm own, what location advantage exists, and why internalize?
  3. 公司的流程能否在當地重新訓練、吸收回饋並調整?Can the firm retrain its process locally, absorb feedback, and adjust?
  4. 應該先出口試市場,還是一開始就在多國同步建立銷售網?Should the firm test the market through exporting or build sales networks across countries early?
  5. 政治風險升高時,哪一個資產最難處理?When political risk rises, which asset is hardest to unwind?
選擇題:哪一種模式比較合理?Multiple Choice: Which Mode Fits Better?

一家台灣設備公司想進入法規複雜、政府採購關係重要的市場。產品技術很敏感,售後維修必須穩定,當地客戶要求長期服務。下列哪一個初始模式最能兼顧風險與學習?A Taiwanese equipment firm wants to enter a market with complex regulation and important government procurement relationships. The product technology is sensitive, after-service must be stable, and customers require long-term support. Which initial mode best balances risk and learning?

  1. Pure exporting
  2. Licensing to a local firm
  3. Strategic alliance with service and data clauses
  4. Immediate full acquisition

參考答案:3 通常較合理,但答案必須說明為什麼不是 1、2、4。若證據顯示市場穩定、買家明確且服務資產可取得,4 也可能變得合理。Suggested answer: 3 often fits better, but the answer must explain why not 1, 2, or 4. If evidence shows stable demand, clear buyers, and available service assets, 4 may become reasonable.

矩陣題:控制權 x 不確定性Matrix: Control x Uncertainty

畫一個 2x2 矩陣。橫軸是「控制權需求」,縱軸是「市場不確定性」。把 exporting、licensing、agency、alliance、JV、greenfield 放入象限。每個象限寫一個可能失敗原因。Draw a 2x2 matrix. Horizontal axis: need for control. Vertical axis: market uncertainty. Place exporting, licensing, agency, alliance, JV, and greenfield into the quadrants. Add one likely failure reason in each quadrant.

退出題:該縮小、賣掉、換夥伴,還是完全退出?Exit: Scale Down, Sell, Switch Partner, or Full Exit?

情境 A:一家品牌零售商在某國多數店點為加盟,政治風險升高,但當地需求仍在。情境 B:一家能源公司持有大型合資股權,制裁讓未來現金流高度不確定。請分別選擇退出選項,並說明最大成本。Scenario A: a branded retailer operates mostly through franchisees in a country where political risk rises but demand remains. Scenario B: an energy company holds a large JV stake and sanctions make future cash flow uncertain. Choose an exit option for each and explain the largest cost.

小組任務 1Group Task 1

用 BYD 案例寫出 OLI 三欄表。每一欄都必須至少有一個來源連結。Build an OLI table for BYD. Each column must include at least one source link.

小組任務 2Group Task 2

為一個策略聯盟設計三個治理條款:資料權、決策權、退出條件。Design three alliance governance clauses: data rights, decision rights, and exit conditions.

小組任務 3Group Task 3

找出一個「初始進入模式需要轉換」的訊號,並說明要轉成哪一種模式。Identify one signal that the initial entry mode should change, and state the next mode.

Prompt 工作流Prompt Workflow

Prompt 是分析工具,不是捷徑Treat the Prompt as an Analysis Tool, Not a Shortcut

下列 Prompt 的重點,是讓你看到一組專業指令如何同時指定情境、角色、證據規則、理論架構、輸出格式與反問。使用 NotebookLM 時,先上傳課本章節、案例與課堂資料;使用一般生成式 AI 時,必須要求它引用可靠學術資源、開放取用資料庫、公司正式揭露、政府或國際機構網站,不能只依賴模型內建記憶。The prompts below show how a professional prompt specifies context, role, evidence rules, theory lenses, output format, and challenge questions. In NotebookLM, upload textbook chapters, cases, and class materials first. In a general GenAI tool, require reliable academic sources, open access databases, official company disclosures, government sources, or international organizations. Do not let the model rely only on its built-in training data.

要貼到哪裡?Where to Paste the Outputs

  • Prompt 1 的表格貼到下方「Entry-mode comparison matrix」。Paste Prompt 1's tables into "Entry-mode comparison matrix" below.
  • Prompt 2 的查證結果貼到「AI Output 1」。Paste Prompt 2's verification results into "AI Output 1."
  • Prompt 3 的修正版或自我測驗結果貼到「AI Output 2 / Revised Version」。Paste Prompt 3's revised answer or self-test into "AI Output 2 / Revised Version."
  • 前面的練習題只供課中使用,不送 Google Sheet;下方 Prompt workflow 的輸出結果與 reflection 會作為學習紀錄上傳。Earlier practice activities are for in-class use and are not sent to Google Sheets. The Prompt workflow outputs and reflection below are uploaded as the learning record.
你是我的 International Business 進入模式分析教練。請協助我比較一家公司進入特定海外市場時,應採取哪一種 entry mode,並說明初始模式在未來何時需要調整或退出。請不要直接替我寫成最後答案;請先建立可查證、可反駁、可修正的分析架構。 我會提供下列資訊,若缺少任何重要資訊,請先反問,不要自行補腦: - 公司: - 母國市場: - 目標市場: - 產品或服務: - 目前或假設的進入模式: - 我已上傳或貼上的資料來源: - 可選案例材料:若我使用《未生》,請把第六、七集視為代理人風險的前奏,把後續 Jordan 舊車弊案視為代理人治理失靈案例;請分清楚「字幕或 recap 支持的劇情事實」與「我用理論做出的推論」。 請依照下列流程工作: 1. 先把題目改寫成一個管理決策問題:「這家公司在這個市場應該選擇哪一種進入模式,為什麼?」 2. 建立 Evidence Log,只列出資料中明確支持的事實。每一列都要標示來源:上傳課本、公司正式揭露、政府資料、國際機構、學術論文、新聞,或待查證。 3. 分別使用六個理論鏡頭分析:Transaction Cost Economics、Dunning OLI、Resource-Based View、Dynamic Capabilities、Competitive Advantage Exploitation、Uppsala / Born Global、Exit Mode。 4. 比較 exporting、licensing、franchising、agency / distribution、strategic alliance、joint venture、acquisition、greenfield investment。每一種模式至少比較:控制權、資源承諾、速度、能力外流風險、在地學習能力、退出難度。 5. 建議一個 recommended mode、一個 second-best mode、一個不建議模式。每一個判斷都要寫出「支持理由」、「反對理由」、「需要查證的證據」。 6. 加入 mode-shift logic:若關稅、政策、夥伴能力、需求、政治風險、資料回流或品牌風險改變,初始模式應該如何轉換? 7. 加入 exit trigger:哪些訊號出現時,企業應該縮小、換夥伴、出售、授權出去,或完全退出? Citation rule: 若我在 NotebookLM 使用本 Prompt,請優先引用我上傳的課本、案例或課堂資料,標示章節、頁碼或檔案名稱。若我在一般生成式 AI 使用本 Prompt,而且沒有提供課本資料,請主動引用可靠學術資源、Open Access 論文、公司正式揭露、政府網站、UNCTAD、OECD、World Bank、WTO 或大學機構資料。不要依賴 AI 內建訓練資料,不要編造 DOI、頁碼、日期或來源。 請輸出: A. 一句清楚的 decision question B. Evidence Log C. 六個理論鏡頭表 D. Entry mode comparison matrix E. Recommended mode and second-best mode F. Mode-shift triggers G. Exit trigger checklist H. 三個我應該反問自己的問題You are my International Business entry-mode analysis coach. Help me compare which entry mode a firm should use when entering a specific foreign market, and explain when the initial mode should later shift or exit. Do not write my final answer for me. Build a checkable, challengeable, and revisable analysis structure first. I will provide the inputs below. If any key input is missing, ask clarifying questions before making assumptions: - Company: - Home market: - Target market: - Product or service: - Current or assumed entry mode: - Sources I uploaded or pasted: - Optional case material: if I use Misaeng, treat Episodes 6 and 7 as the setup for agent risk, and the later Jordan used-car fraud as a case of agent-governance failure. Separate plot facts supported by subtitles or recaps from theory-based inference. Work through these steps: 1. Rewrite the topic as a management decision question: "Which entry mode should this firm choose in this market, and why?" 2. Build an Evidence Log. List only facts clearly supported by sources. Mark each line as textbook, company disclosure, government source, international organization, academic paper, news, or needs verification. 3. Analyze the decision through six lenses: Transaction Cost Economics, Dunning OLI, Resource-Based View, Dynamic Capabilities, Competitive Advantage Exploitation, Uppsala / Born Global, and Exit Mode. 4. Compare exporting, licensing, franchising, agency / distribution, strategic alliance, joint venture, acquisition, and greenfield investment. For each mode, compare control, resource commitment, speed, knowledge leakage risk, local learning, and exit difficulty. 5. Recommend one mode, one second-best mode, and one mode that is not recommended. For each judgment, give the supporting reason, opposing reason, and evidence that still needs verification. 6. Add mode-shift logic: if tariffs, policy, partner capability, demand, political risk, data feedback, or brand risk changes, how should the initial mode change? 7. Add exit triggers: what signals should lead the firm to scale down, switch partners, sell, license out, or fully exit? Citation rule: If I use this prompt in NotebookLM, prioritize my uploaded textbook, case materials, and class files. Cite chapter, page, or file name. If I use this prompt in a general GenAI tool without textbook materials, proactively cite reliable academic sources, open access papers, official company disclosures, government websites, UNCTAD, OECD, World Bank, WTO, or university materials. Do not rely on built-in model memory. Do not invent DOI, page numbers, dates, or sources. Output: A. One clear decision question B. Evidence Log C. Six-lens theory table D. Entry mode comparison matrix E. Recommended mode and second-best mode F. Mode-shift triggers G. Exit trigger checklist H. Three questions I should ask myself
你是嚴格的商業研究助教。請檢查我對 entry modes and strategic alliances 的分析是否有足夠證據,並且幫我補強查證流程。不要稱讚我,不要把不確定的內容寫得很像定論。 我會貼上我的初稿或 AI 產出。請執行: 1. 把我的文字拆成 6 到 10 個可查證主張。每個主張只保留一個意思。 2. 為每個主張標示最適合的來源類型:課本概念、學術論文、公司年報或新聞稿、政府法規或政策、國際機構資料、可信新聞、產業報告,或無法查證。 3. 判斷每個主張狀態:supported、under-supported、contradicted、too vague、needs date、needs source、needs comparison。 4. 找出我可能漏掉的替代解釋,例如:不是策略成功,而是關稅造成;不是文化差異,而是通路能力不足;不是進入模式錯誤,而是需求被高估;不是夥伴不可信,而是治理條款沒設計好。 5. 針對 BYD 歐洲、印度 EV 政策、McDonald's 退出俄羅斯、BP 退出 Rosneft,若我有使用這些案例,請檢查日期、金額、政策條件與來源連結是否一致。若我使用《未生》,請檢查我是否誤把第六、七集寫成 Jordan 舊車弊案本身,並確認我有把字幕時間碼、recap 連結與理論推論分開。 6. 改寫我最薄弱的一段,使它變成「主張 - 證據 - 理論 - 限制」的格式。保留限制,不要把語氣寫滿。 7. 最後列出 5 個下一步查證任務,並附上建議來源方向。 Citation rule: 若我沒有提供課本或資料,請你建議應該查哪些可靠來源。一般生成式 AI 回答時,請優先使用 Open Access 學術資料、公司正式揭露、政府網站、UNCTAD、OECD、World Bank、WTO、Nobel Prize、Harvard Business School 或大學機構頁面。不要引用沒有作者、沒有日期、不可追溯的部落格。若來源只能支持部分主張,請明確標示。 請輸出表格: - Claim - Current support - Source needed - Theory lens - Risk of misreading - Rewrite suggestion 最後用「Most Dangerous Inference」做結尾,指出我最可能誤判的一件事。You are a strict business research TA. Check whether my analysis of entry modes and strategic alliances has enough evidence, and strengthen my verification process. Do not praise me. Do not make uncertain points sound settled. I will paste my draft or an AI-generated answer. Please do the following: 1. Break my text into 6 to 10 checkable claims. Keep only one idea in each claim. 2. Mark the best source type for each claim: textbook concept, academic paper, company annual report or press release, government regulation or policy, international organization data, credible news, industry report, or not verifiable. 3. Classify each claim as supported, under-supported, contradicted, too vague, needs date, needs source, or needs comparison. 4. Identify alternative explanations I may have missed. For example: the result may come from tariffs rather than strategy; channel capability rather than culture; demand overestimation rather than wrong entry mode; weak governance clauses rather than an untrustworthy partner. 5. If I use BYD Europe, India's EV scheme, McDonald's Russia exit, or BP's Rosneft exit, check whether the dates, amounts, policy conditions, and source links are consistent. If I use Misaeng, check whether I mistakenly treat Episodes 6 and 7 as the Jordan used-car fraud itself, and make sure I separate subtitle timecodes, recap links, and theory-based inference. 6. Rewrite my weakest paragraph in the format: claim - evidence - theory - limitation. Keep the limitation visible. Do not overstate. 7. End with 5 next-step verification tasks and suggested source directions. Citation rule: If I have not provided textbook or case materials, recommend reliable sources to check. In a general GenAI answer, prioritize open access academic sources, official company disclosures, government websites, UNCTAD, OECD, World Bank, WTO, Nobel Prize, Harvard Business School, or university pages. Do not cite untraceable blogs without author or date. If a source supports only part of a claim, say so clearly. Output a table with: - Claim - Current support - Source needed - Theory lens - Risk of misreading - Rewrite suggestion End with a section titled "Most Dangerous Inference" that names the one thing I am most likely to misjudge.
你是我的口試考官與記憶教練。請用 entry modes and strategic alliances 幫我練習比較、反問與記憶。你的任務不是給我更多資料,而是測試我能不能把模式差異、理論理由、案例證據與退出成本連在一起。 請先讀我貼上的 entry-mode comparison matrix 或初稿,然後進行五輪追問: Round 1 - Definition check: 請問我三個直白問題,確認我能分辨 exporting、licensing、agency、strategic alliance、joint venture、greenfield investment 的差異。每一題都要要求我用一句話說出「控制權」與「資源承諾」。 Round 2 - Theory check: 請用 TCE、OLI、RBV/DC、Uppsala/Born Global、Exit Mode 各問一題。每題都必須逼我說出「這個理論在實務判斷上何時有用」。 Round 3 - Case check: 請從 BYD 匈牙利、印度 EV 政策、McDonald's 退出俄羅斯、BP 退出 Rosneft、《未生》代理人風險中挑兩個案例,要求我說明:進入模式、模式轉換、退出成本、資料來源。若挑《未生》,請追問我:哪些是劇情事實?哪些是 TCE / OLI / Exit Mode 的推論? Round 4 - Mode-shift check: 請提出三個情境變化:關稅上升、夥伴能力下降、政治風險升高。要我回答初始模式是否要轉換,以及轉成什麼。 Round 5 - Final answer check: 請要求我用 120 字以內寫出最終判斷,格式為:核心建議、主要理由、反對理由、需要查證的證據、退出條件。 每一輪請先指出我目前答案最弱的地方,再給我一個更好的句型。最後請產出: 1. 三題選擇題 2. 三題配對題 3. 一張模式比較記憶表 4. 一段 120 字以內的修正版答案 5. 我下次看到海外進入案例時,應該先問的五個問題You are my oral-exam examiner and memory coach. Use entry modes and strategic alliances to train comparison, challenge questions, and memory. Your task is not to give me more information. Your task is to test whether I can connect mode differences, theory reasons, case evidence, and exit cost. First read my entry-mode comparison matrix or draft. Then run five rounds: Round 1 - Definition check: Ask me three plain questions to check whether I can distinguish exporting, licensing, agency, strategic alliance, joint venture, and greenfield investment. Each question must force me to mention control and resource commitment in one sentence. Round 2 - Theory check: Ask one question each from TCE, OLI, RBV/DC, Uppsala/Born Global, and Exit Mode. Each question must force me to explain when that theory is useful in practical judgment. Round 3 - Case check: Choose two cases from BYD Hungary, India's EV scheme, McDonald's Russia exit, BP's Rosneft exit, and the Misaeng agent-risk case. Ask me to explain entry mode, mode shift, exit cost, and source evidence. If you choose Misaeng, ask me which points are plot facts and which are TCE / OLI / Exit Mode inferences. Round 4 - Mode-shift check: Give me three changes: tariffs rise, partner capability weakens, political risk increases. Ask whether the initial mode should change and what it should change into. Round 5 - Final answer check: Ask me to write a final answer under 120 words with this structure: core recommendation, main reason, counterargument, evidence to verify, and exit condition. For each round, point out the weakest part of my current answer first, then give me a stronger sentence pattern. End with: 1. Three multiple-choice questions 2. Three matching questions 3. One mode-comparison memory table 4. A revised answer under 120 words 5. Five questions I should ask first when I see a foreign-entry case next time
課後 takeawaysAfter-Class Takeaways

離開這一週前,至少要記得這七件事Seven Things to Remember After This Week

  • 進入模式不是固定階梯,而是控制權、承諾、速度、學習與退出成本的組合。Entry modes are not a fixed ladder. They combine control, commitment, speed, learning, and exit cost.
  • 交易成本高,不一定表示要自己做,但一定表示治理設計不能隨便。High transaction costs do not always mean full ownership, but governance cannot be casual.
  • OLI 幫你檢查 FDI 的三個理由是否同時存在。OLI helps test whether the three reasons for FDI exist at the same time.
  • 資源與能力能不能移轉,比「公司在母國很成功」更重要。Whether capabilities can travel matters more than home-market success.
  • 策略聯盟的核心不是互相信任,而是把學習、控制、資料與退出條件寫清楚。The core of alliance is not goodwill. It is clear design for learning, control, data, and exit.
  • 代理人問題不是外包小事。只要對方掌握現地資訊,公司就需要查核門、權責邊界與可執行的退出條款。Agent risk is not a minor outsourcing issue. When another party controls local information, the firm needs verification gates, clear authority boundaries, and enforceable exit clauses.
  • 退出模式要在進入時就思考。退出成本高的市場,不適合用一句「先進去再說」處理。Exit mode must be considered at entry. A high-exit-cost market cannot be handled by "enter first and see."
課後任務After-Class Task

完成一頁進入模式備忘錄Complete a One-Page Entry Mode Memo

選擇一家公司與一個目標市場,寫出一頁備忘錄。內容必須包含:建議模式、第二選項、不建議模式、理論依據、兩個案例證據、三個待查證資料,以及退出條件。Choose one firm and one target market. Write a one-page memo covering: recommended mode, second-best option, not-recommended mode, theory basis, two case evidence points, three items to verify, and exit conditions.

不要寫成「我覺得」。請寫成「在目前證據下,A 比 B 更合理,因為...;但如果...,模式應該調整為...」。Do not write "I think." Write: "Based on current evidence, A is more reasonable than B because...; however, if..., the mode should shift to..."

可信延伸資料Credible External Links

本週可以繼續查的資料Sources for Further Learning

LEARNING RECORD

Prompt 輸出、上傳與本機下載Prompt Output, Upload, and Local Download

前面的課中練習不送出;本區只上傳 Prompt workflow 的輸出結果、reflection 與基本學習紀錄。你也可以另外下載 JSON / Markdown 留存。Earlier in-class practice tasks are not submitted. This section uploads only Prompt workflow outputs, reflection, and basic learning-record fields. You can also download JSON / Markdown for your own copy.